Strategic Analysis and Monitoring Social Development Trends by Year 2010
In hope of thoroughly examining contemporary policy issues, achieving a consensus concerning future government policies, and fully utilizing the capabilities of government think tanks, this plan predicts and analyzes social development trends to the year 2010. The six research topics in this plan include the environment, social welfare, education and culture, national security, finance and the economy, and networked society. Research tasks were conducted in small groups, and drew on the capabilities of industry, the government and the academic community. The nation's collective intelligence was used to compile well-ordered dynamic information concerning changes in the social environment, facilitating new directions in social development and action strategies, establishing an environmental early warning system, and effectively guiding the formulation of medium- and long-term programs by government agencies.
This two-year plan was begun on January 1, 2001, and will run until December 31, 2002. The plan includes establishment of a core committee to coordinate and draft a framework, timetable and research methods, and cooperate in assessment and integration work in connection with each topic; the establishment of topic research units responsible for research on each topics, assessment and evaluation of the situation during the last ten years; prediction and analysis of trends during the future up to the year 2010; and establishment of a policy unit responsible for drawing up conclusions and providing overall policy advice. Discussion seminars will be held after preliminary drafts for each topic and overall end-of-term research report are completed; seminar participants will include domestic media organizations, academic research organizations, and representatives from the administration, industry and the legislature. The seminars will enable relevant opinions to be collected and supplied for reference during the editing of the overall report and research reports on each topic. After topical and overall reports are completed, they will be published for reading by the public. The research report will serve as a substantive policy recommendation document and be sent to each agency as reference in drafting relevant policies, medium-term administrative programs and medium-/long-term project programs.
This plan seeks to achieve the completion of topic assessment and overall research reports, which will cover descriptions of the present situation, trend analysis, future development trends, priority development topics, and strategic recommendations. When completed, the overall report will encompass all research topics, objectives, and basic information and analysis concerning relevant social trends, as well as integration strategies for each topic. Overall comprehensive policy recommendations will be formulated, providing strategic recommendations on future development trends and priority development topics.
It is hoped that the research conducted under this plan will lead to the examination of contemporary policy issues and the implementation of objective analysis and prediction concerning medium-/long-term environmental trends. It will therefore supply new directions for social development and action strategies, help establish an environmental early warning system, and effectively guide all government agencies in the drafting of medium- and long-term programs.